after you've read tirerack and understand the concept of Plus Sizing...again I repeat, AFTER you've read tirerack proceed to read below...
Now that you understand the concept behind plus sizing and the fact that it works based ont he premise that your replacment tire should be as close as possible to the same diameter as your stock tire, use this handy tool to digure out which of the two sizes you were considering meets that goal.
http://www.miata.net/garage/tirecalc.html
If you didn't read tirerack, you should be ashamed of yourself. If you did read it, good for you
edit: looks like evo beat me to it